Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight?

Resolved :Yes61%
9
18
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction61% (58% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 61%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
28.9
Community Peer Score
-3.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
2023 Leaderboard
Doomsday Clock
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Nuclear warfare
Scientific consensus on climate change
Innovation

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