Question
Which percentage of Metaculus questions resolving from October 1st to December 31st 2018 (inclusive) will resolve positively?
Resolved :3944.7Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction44.7 (37.8 - 51.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 37.8 | — |
median | 44.7 | — |
upper 75% | 51.08 | — |
What was the final result?39
Community Baseline Score
61.5
Community Peer Score
9.8
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2018
Closes:Nov 30, 2018
Resolves:Jan 21, 2019
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Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2018
Closes:Nov 30, 2018
Resolves:Jan 21, 2019
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch