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What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

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15 forecasters

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Year	resolution
2023	10.6
Year	25th	median	75th
2024	7.88 ...	11.3 ...	16 ...
2025	10.5 ...	20.5 ...	31.7 ...
2030	45.4 ...	57.5 ...	71.5 ...
2035	56.8 ...	71.1 ...	90.9 ...

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>15

2.349

3.307

6.094

0.6%

What was the final result?10.6

Community Baseline Score

3.3

Community Peer Score

85.8

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

2035

2030

2024

2023

2025

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

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Energy

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United States

Zero-emissions vehicle

Joe Biden

FACT SHEET: President Biden Sets 2035 Climate Target Aimed at Creating Good-Paying Union Jobs, Reducing Costs for All Americans, and Securing U.S. Leadership in the Clean Energy Economy of the Future

•Dec 19, 2024

FACT SHEET: President Biden Sets 2030 Greenhouse Gas Pollution Reduction Target Aimed at Creating Good-Paying Union Jobs and Securing U.S. Leadership on Clean Energy Technologies

•Dec 19, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

28.8

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

16.1

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Transport

Energy

Environmental science

United States

Zero-emissions vehicle

Joe Biden

FACT SHEET: President Biden Sets 2035 Climate Target Aimed at Creating Good-Paying Union Jobs, Reducing Costs for All Americans, and Securing U.S. Leadership in the Clean Energy Economy of the Future

•Dec 19, 2024

FACT SHEET: President Biden Sets 2030 Greenhouse Gas Pollution Reduction Target Aimed at Creating Good-Paying Union Jobs and Securing U.S. Leadership on Clean Energy Technologies

•Dec 19, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

28.8

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

16.1

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What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

Comments

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?