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What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

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26 forecasters

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Year	resolution
2023	-
Year	25th	median	75th
2024	18.9 ...	21.3 ...	23.9 ...
2025	23.4 ...	26.8 ...	30.2 ...
2030	42.8 ...	53.9 ...	67.3 ...
2035	59.8 ...	70.6 ...	80.7 ...

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>35

...

13.73

16.12

18.77

0.2%

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Forecast Timeline

2035

2030

2025

2023

2024

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

International Energy Agency

Zero-emissions vehicle

Environmental science

Hydrogen vehicle

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What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

28.8

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

11.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

International Energy Agency

Zero-emissions vehicle

Environmental science

Hydrogen vehicle

Toyota's second electric car sees the return of a former nameplate - do you remember the original?

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

California can ban new gas cars starting in 2035, EPA says

TechCrunch•Dec 19, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

28.8

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

11.3

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What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

Comments

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?