Group

How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Make a Prediction

TBD group label	resolution
2024	8
	25th	median	75th
2025	8 ...	11.6 ...	15.5 ...
2030	9.95 ...	16.9 ...	24.7 ...
2035	15.4 ...	23.3 ...	29.9 ...

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>49

17.8

19.6

21.5

0.1%

What was the final result?8

Forecast Timeline

2035

2024

2030

2025

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Zero-emissions vehicle

Environmental science

California

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

US Environmental Protection Agency

Zero-emissions vehicle

Environmental science

California

California’s Zero-Emissions Trucking Rule Would Devastate Global Supply Chains

Townhall•Oct 1, 2024

Motorsport is trying to reach Net Zero. Could fuels like this, made from air and water, help accelerate the journey?

CNN•Oct 1, 2024

America's Greenest Companies 2025

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

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How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Comments

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?