Question

When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction2065-03-12 (2042-03-22 - 2075-09-27)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2075-09-27

...

2042-03-22 05:11

2065-03-12 18:32

>2075-09-27 00:00

35.5%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Podemos (Spanish political party)

Five Star Movement

Whig Party (United States)

Know Nothing

Millennials

Generation Z

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

La République En Marche!

What Happens to Democrats, Now That Mainstream Media Is No Longer Mainstream?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Democrats Need Their Walk in the Wilderness

Townhall•Dec 13, 2024

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-02

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Podemos (Spanish political party)

Five Star Movement

Whig Party (United States)

Know Nothing

Millennials

Generation Z

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

La République En Marche!

What Happens to Democrats, Now That Mainstream Media Is No Longer Mainstream?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

Democrats Need Their Walk in the Wilderness

Townhall•Dec 13, 2024

Republicans and Democrats face a crisis of confidence

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-02

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?

Make a Prediction

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Comments

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?