Question

When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction2065-03-12 (2042-03-22 - 2075-09-27)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2075-09-27

...

2042-03-22 05:11

2065-03-12 18:32

>2075-09-27 00:00

35.5%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Podemos (Spanish political party)

Five Star Movement

Whig Party (United States)

Know Nothing

Millennials

Generation Z

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

La République En Marche!

Democrats Didn't Do As Badly in the Election As It First Appeared. They're Still Screwed.

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

What is a Democrat, anyway?

American Thinker•Dec 13, 2024

The Democratic Party Faces Its Day of Reckoning

CounterPunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-02

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Podemos (Spanish political party)

Five Star Movement

Whig Party (United States)

Know Nothing

Millennials

Generation Z

US presidential election

Republican Party (US)

La République En Marche!

Democrats Didn't Do As Badly in the Election As It First Appeared. They're Still Screwed.

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

What is a Democrat, anyway?

American Thinker•Dec 13, 2024

The Democratic Party Faces Its Day of Reckoning

CounterPunch•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

2087-11-02

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

2069-09-07

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?

Make a Prediction

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

Comments

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?

When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?