Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in California in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7
2
21 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>40
0.9%
18.56
21.21
24.03
0.4%

What was the final result?25

Community Baseline Score
23.6
Community Peer Score
54.5
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 9
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Climate Tipping Points
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
US Environmental Protection Agency
Transport
Engineering
Energy
California Energy Commission
Zero-emissions vehicle
Environmental science
Clean Air Act

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