Question

What percentage of Americans will be obese or overweight in 2030?

Total Forecasters271

Community Prediction68.5 (58.1 - 76.5)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	58.13	68.53	76.51
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	58.13	—
median	68.53	—
upper 75%	76.51	—

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Oct 6, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

What Americans really think of vaccines and chemicals in food

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Experts warn disaster is set to hit US in 2032 that'll kill hundreds of thousands

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Map Reveals How Obesity Rates in the U.S Compares to Europe

Newsweek•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

43.8

What percentage of US adults will have Diabetes (type 1 and 2) in 2032?

13.7

Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?

31.1%

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Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Oct 6, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

What Americans really think of vaccines and chemicals in food

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Experts warn disaster is set to hit US in 2032 that'll kill hundreds of thousands

Daily Mail•Feb 21, 2025

Map Reveals How Obesity Rates in the U.S Compares to Europe

Newsweek•Feb 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of Americans will be obese in 2032?

43.8

What percentage of US adults will have Diabetes (type 1 and 2) in 2032?

13.7

Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?

31.1%