Group

How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?

19 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Year	resolution
2024	60.9k
Year	25th	median	75th
2025	68.1k ...	70k ...	72.3k ...
2030	88.1k ...	129k ...	187k ...
2035	146k ...	227k ...	331k ...

community

<40k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>75k

0.1%

57.16k

60.12k

65.46k

4.0%

What was the final result?60.9k

Community Baseline Score

42.4

Community Peer Score

24.5

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 9

2024

2025

2035

2030

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

Transport

Engineering

Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

ChargePoint

US Department of Energy

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Electrify America

NRG Energy

Charge anxiety overtakes range as biggest barrier to EV adoption

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

ChargePoint, GM Teaming Up to Install 500 Ultra-fast EV Charging Stations

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

The IEA’s Peak Demand Forecast Should Be Viewed Skeptically

Forbes•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

106k

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

215k

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 1

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

Transport

Engineering

Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

ChargePoint

US Department of Energy

National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Electrify America

NRG Energy

Charge anxiety overtakes range as biggest barrier to EV adoption

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

ChargePoint, GM Teaming Up to Install 500 Ultra-fast EV Charging Stations

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

The IEA’s Peak Demand Forecast Should Be Viewed Skeptically

Forbes•Dec 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

106k

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

7.84

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

215k

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many level 2 or greater public charging stations will be available for light vehicles in the United States at the beginning of the listed year?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

Comments

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

Conditional on the disbursement before 2027 of at least $3.75 billion for the NEVI Formula Program, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?

What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

Conditional on the disbursement of $1.8 billion in grants for charging infrastructure before 2027, what will be the number of public charging stations in 2027?