Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

6
10
18 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Valueresolution
Value25thmedian75th
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>200
11.07
26.58
45.98
0.2%

What was the final result?27.3

Community Baseline Score
38.7
Community Peer Score
45.4
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 9
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Climate Tipping Points
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
Vanadium
US Geological Survey
Ukraine and the International Monetary Fund
Graphite
Congressional Research Service
Chromium
Lead
International Energy Agency

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