Question

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2024?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.4

Community Peer Score

5.0

median 0.1%mean 0.9%

Authors:

rob.louis

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

Charter of the United Nations

September 11 attacks

George Robertson, Baron Robertson of Port Ellen

Afghanistan

North Atlantic Treaty

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

97%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

rob.louis

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council

Charter of the United Nations

September 11 attacks

George Robertson, Baron Robertson of Port Ellen

Afghanistan

North Atlantic Treaty

US Weighs NATO Ally's Offer To Shoot Down Russian Missiles Over Ukraine

Newsweek•Nov 4, 2024

Allies say 1953 mutual defense treaty extends to cyber, space threats

Korea Herald•Nov 4, 2024

NATO Fighter Jets Scrambled As Russian Drones Approach Territory

Newsweek•Nov 5, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Which countries will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040?

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

97%