Question

When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace?

Resolved :Aug 3, 20232023-10-26

12 comments12

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction2023-10-26 (2023-09-03 - 2024-01-01)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2024-01-01

...

2023-09-03 12:34

2023-10-26 14:16

>2024-01-01 00:00

25.6%

What was the final result?Aug 3, 2023

Community Baseline Score

5.1

Community Peer Score

17.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

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How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.2

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

46.3

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

People Injured by COVID Vaccine May Get New Chance at Getting Money

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Biden Quietly Extends Covid 'Emergency Declaration' to Protect Big Pharma From Liability Until 2029

Townhall•Dec 19, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.2

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

46.3

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

When will the procurement and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines in the U.S. be managed by the commercial marketplace?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?