Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the U.S. end the public health emergency for COVID-19?

Resolved :May 11, 20232023-05-13
3
10
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction2023-05-13 (2023-05-09 - 2023-05-23)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
2023-05-09 22:53
2023-05-13 14:41
2023-05-23 16:01
6.2%

What was the final result?May 11, 2023

Community Baseline Score
47.0
Community Peer Score
14.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Public Health Emergency of International Concern
United States Secretary of Health and Human Services
Public health
COVID-19
US Department of Health and Human Services
Public health emergency (United States)
United States
Medicine

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