Question

How many mpox cases will Virginia report in the second quarter of 2023?

Resolved :33.65

16 comments16

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction3.65 (1.59 - 7.32)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>400

...

1.587

3.646

7.317

0.1%

What was the final result?3

Community Baseline Score

162.4

Community Peer Score

51.8

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

2003 Midwest monkeypox outbreak

Medicine

Virology

Microbiology

Mysterious illness which leaves women and teenage girls 'shaking uncontrollably' spreads through Uganda leaving doctors baffled

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

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Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Bird Flu Outbreak Map Shows States with Most Cases

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

2003 Midwest monkeypox outbreak

Medicine

Virology

Microbiology

Mysterious illness which leaves women and teenage girls 'shaking uncontrollably' spreads through Uganda leaving doctors baffled

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Bird Flu Outbreak Map Shows States with Most Cases

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many mpox cases will Virginia report in the second quarter of 2023?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?