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Question

When will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute indicate at least 13 of Virginia's 35 health districts are in a "surge" trajectory?

Resolved :Sep 3, 20232023-12-31
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2023-12-31 (2023-11-08 - 2024-01-01)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%08 Nov 2023
median31 Dec 2023
upper 75%>01 Jan 2024
Upper bound
>2024-01-0149.5%

What was the final result?Sep 3, 2023

Community Baseline Score
-35.5
Community Peer Score
45.3
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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