Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute indicate at least 13 of Virginia's 35 health districts are in a "surge" trajectory?

Resolved :Sep 3, 20232023-12-31
3
10
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2023-12-31 (2023-11-08 - 2024-01-01)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
...
2023-11-08 07:57
2023-12-31 02:54
>2024-01-01 00:00
49.5%

What was the final result?Sep 3, 2023

Community Baseline Score
-35.5
Community Peer Score
45.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
Virginia
University of Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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