Question

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

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Total Forecasters278

Community Prediction4%

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50%

community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 9.4%

Authors:

NMorrison RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Iran

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

Iranian Revolution

Syrian civil war

Iran–Israel proxy conflict

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

Israel

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before 2024? → 1,000 Dead In Israel/Iran Conflict by 2025?

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Authors:

NMorrison RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Iran

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

Iranian Revolution

Syrian civil war

Iran–Israel proxy conflict

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

Israel

Netanyahu, Trump Discuss Iran as Israel Hits Targets in Lebanon, Gaza

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

Iran-linked attacks against US skyrocket by 600% since Oct 2023 Hamas attack on Israel: report

FOX News•Nov 13, 2024

Iran military heads vow 'crushing' response to Israel as UN atomic chief says nuke sites shouldn't be attacked

FOX News•Nov 15, 2024

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Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%