Question

What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction254 (159 - 376)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500

...

158.6

253.7

376.4

7.1%

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Oct 18, 2018

Closed:

Dec 31, 2024

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Computing and Math

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Information technology

TOP500

FLOPS

Measurement

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?

What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates?

20.9

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2.9×10¹⁸

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