🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

55
18
Total Forecasters357
Community Prediction33% (15% - 58%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 33%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Ragnarök Series
Logic
Astronomy
Cosmology
Philosophy
Nick Bostrom
Doomsday argument
Fermi paradox
Great Filter

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