Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters250

Community Prediction29.2% (18% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29.2%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

A brief history of missing US nuclear weapons

Snopes•Feb 13, 2025

Inside secret US lab where US will begin testing nukes again amid fears of WWIII

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What's Wrong With Nuclear Weaponry and Energy

OpEdNews•Feb 16, 2025

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

A brief history of missing US nuclear weapons

Snopes•Feb 13, 2025

Inside secret US lab where US will begin testing nukes again amid fears of WWIII

Daily Mail•Feb 16, 2025

What's Wrong With Nuclear Weaponry and Energy

OpEdNews•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

23%