Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters251

Community Prediction

29.2%

(17% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29.2%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2018

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

All the terrifying signs World War III is already playing out in the shadows

Daily Mail•Mar 23, 2025

Russian tanks roll across the border, a barrage of missiles are fired on Britain - then nuclear hell breaks out: GENERAL SIR RICHARD SHIRREFF reveals how he believes WW3 will begin... and we have just

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Will Climate Damage Create New Security Risks?

Forbes•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2018

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

All the terrifying signs World War III is already playing out in the shadows

Daily Mail•Mar 23, 2025

Daily Mail•Mar 22, 2025

Will Climate Damage Create New Security Risks?

Forbes•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

25%