🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

38
40
Total Forecasters375
Community Prediction40% (13% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
AGI Outcomes
Ragnarök Series
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Engineering
Lethal autonomous weapon
Robotics
Ethics
Environmental science
AI War: Fleet Command
Risk management
Artificial intelligence arms race
Existential risk from AGI
Future of Life Institute

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