Question

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

median 40.0%mean 39.0%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

Egypt Struggles with ‘Unsustainable’ Burden of 1.2 Million Sudanese Refugees

Breitbart•Nov 12, 2024

Texas and New Mexico's Decade-Long Water Fight Reaches Crucial Juncture

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Visualising the war in Sudan: Conflict, control and displacement

Al Jazeera•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

Egypt Struggles with ‘Unsustainable’ Burden of 1.2 Million Sudanese Refugees

Breitbart•Nov 12, 2024

Texas and New Mexico's Decade-Long Water Fight Reaches Crucial Juncture

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Visualising the war in Sudan: Conflict, control and displacement

Al Jazeera•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%