Question

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction40% (32% - 51%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

HRW accuses Israel of 'acts of genocide' for restricting Gaza water access

Raw Story•Dec 19, 2024

‘The water war’: how drought threatens survival of Sicily’s towns

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Daily death rate in Gaza higher than any other major 21st Century conflict - Oxfam

•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Nile

Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

Egypt

Ethiopia

Uppsala Conflict Data Program

HRW accuses Israel of 'acts of genocide' for restricting Gaza water access

Raw Story•Dec 19, 2024

‘The water war’: how drought threatens survival of Sicily’s towns

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Daily death rate in Gaza higher than any other major 21st Century conflict - Oxfam

•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

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Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?