Question

Will a NATO country commit to sending at least one F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved :Yes

35 comments35

Total Forecasters190

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

38.8

Community Peer Score

13.7

median 99.0%mean 97.2%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

General Dynamics F-16 Fighting Falcon

M142 HIMARS

Ukraine–NATO relations

Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024?

1.5%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

20%

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

0.8%

Comments

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