Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters175

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

median 3.0%mean 5.7%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

How AI Is Redefining Our Understanding of Risk | Opinion

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

A Roadmap to AI Utopia

Time•Nov 12, 2024

AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It

Atlantic•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

How AI Is Redefining Our Understanding of Risk | Opinion

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

A Roadmap to AI Utopia

Time•Nov 12, 2024

AI Can Save Humanity—Or End It

Atlantic•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%