Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction3% (1.5% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Scientists issue an urgent warning over lab-made 'mirror bacteria' that could wipe out mankind

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fail-safes in nanotechnology

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Scientists issue an urgent warning over lab-made 'mirror bacteria' that could wipe out mankind

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

36.9%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?