Question

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

48 comments48

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 1.4%

Authors:

NomNomNom

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Influenza A virus subtype H5N6

Influenza A virus subtype H5N8

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

2009 swine flu pandemic

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2040-01

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NomNomNom

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Influenza A virus subtype H5N6

Influenza A virus subtype H5N8

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

2009 swine flu pandemic

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

2040-01

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

33%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

Make a Prediction

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Comments

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?