Question

Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

median 0.1%mean 1.2%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Nancy Pelosi

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

Yu Shyi-kun

Legislative Yuan

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Taiwan

United States

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Kevin McCarthy (California politician)

Nancy Pelosi

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

Yu Shyi-kun

Legislative Yuan

Speaker of the US House of Representatives

Taiwan

United States

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Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

10%

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

44%

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Will Kevin McCarthy visit Taiwan in 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

Comments

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

If Taiwan declares independence by 2035, will the United States appoint an ambassador within a year?