Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the maiden flight of the H3 Launch Vehicle carrying ALOS-3 launch successfully and on time?

Resolved :No3%
3
12
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction3% (1% - 9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
16.4
Community Peer Score
19.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Economy & Business
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
JAXA
H3 (rocket)

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