Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters218

Community Prediction27% (13% - 38%)

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50%

community: 27%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

Bird flu is a real pandemic threat. Are we prepared for the worst? | Devi Sridhar

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Mirror bacteria may constitute ‘radical departure from known life,’ scientists warn

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Global Health Risk Posed by 'Mirror Bacteria'

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%