Question

Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

92.0

Community Peer Score

6.1

median 0.1%mean 1.8%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Public Health Emergency of International Concern

Human mortality from H5N1

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

33%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

14%

Comments

? comments