🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will WHO declare H5N1 a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
24
10
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
92.0
Community Peer Score
6.1
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard
Influenza A virus subtype H5N1
Public Health Emergency of International Concern
Human mortality from H5N1
Medicine
Virology
Microbiology
Epidemiology

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