Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many NASA "space launch system" (SLS) launches before 2030?

14
32
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction3.02 (1.4 - 5.32)

Make a Prediction

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
...
...
...
...
1.397
3.019
5.316
0.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jackson_wxyz
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2016-2025 Leaderboard
New Glenn
SpaceX reusable launch system
NASA
Blue Origin
Falcon Heavy
Space Launch System

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