Question

How many NASA "space launch system" (SLS) launches before 2030?

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Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction3.02

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>25

...

1.397

3.019

5.316

0.3%

Authors:

jackson_wxyz

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SpaceX reusable launch system

When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?

2028-11-14

How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?

Will a government space agency commence a crewed mission outside of the Earth-Moon system before 2030?

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Authors:

jackson_wxyz

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Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

SpaceX is about to test its Starship. Why does that matter?

Economist•Oct 11, 2024

Starship flight 5: SpaceX will attempt ‘chopstick’ landing

CNN•Oct 13, 2024

$5.2 billion NASA probe to assess habitability of sub-surface ocean on moon of Jupiter

CBS•Oct 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?

2028-11-14