Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

4
3
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction34% (32.4% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 34%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Environment & Climate
India
International Monetary Fund
Malawi
Nigeria

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