Question

If Erdoğan loses the 2023 presidential election, will he abdicate the presidency?

Resolved :Annulled75%

21 comments21

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction75% (60% - 84%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Feb 13, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2023

Constitution of Turkey

Turkey

Justice and Development Party (Turkey)

Istanbul

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Feb 13, 2023

Closes:

Jun 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2023

Constitution of Turkey

Turkey

Justice and Development Party (Turkey)

Istanbul

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

'Here’s the deal': Legal experts debunk MAGA’s 'nutbar fantasy'

Raw Story•Jan 26, 2025

Can Erdoğan forge a new bromance with Trump? His future may depend on it | Paul Taylor

Guardian•Jan 28, 2025

Trump again publicly muses about serving a third term: ‘Am I allowed?’

Independent•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

1.7%

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-02-07