Question

Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?

Resolved :Yes3%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction3% (1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-125.2

Community Peer Score

2.9

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Feb 12, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Moody's Investors Service

United States

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Feb 12, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Moody's Investors Service

United States

United States debt ceiling

Here’s The Fed’s 2025 Meeting Schedule And What To Expect For Interest Rates

Forbes•Jan 26, 2025

The US debt limit may be an unsung bull catalyst for stocks in the early months of 2025

Business Insider•Jan 26, 2025

How Credit Rating Agencies Overplayed The Sovereign Credit Rating Card

Forbes•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%