Question

Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?

Resolved :Yes3%

11 comments11

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction3% (1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-125.2

Community Peer Score

2.9

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moody's Investors Service

United States

United States debt ceiling

World governments need to curb spending or risk being 'too late' when markets panic, BIS warns

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

How rising US debt could compound into a crisis, according to 'bond king' Jeffrey Gundlach

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

10.6

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moody's Investors Service

United States

United States debt ceiling

World governments need to curb spending or risk being 'too late' when markets panic, BIS warns

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

Inflation May Prove Stickier, Making Deeper 2025 Rate Cuts Less Likely

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

How rising US debt could compound into a crisis, according to 'bond king' Jeffrey Gundlach

Business Insider•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

28.1%

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

10.6

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Comments

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?