Question

Will US sovereign debt be downgraded in 2023?

Resolved :Yes

11 comments11

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-125.2

Community Peer Score

2.9

median 3.0%mean 14.3%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Fitch Ratings

Standard & Poor's

Moody's Investors Service

United States

United States debt ceiling

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

29%

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

10.6

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Fitch Ratings

Standard & Poor's

Moody's Investors Service

United States

United States debt ceiling

Today's Mortgage Rates, November 11, 2024 | Rates Have Been High So Far This Month. When Will They Drop?

Business Insider•Nov 11, 2024

What To Expect From Mortgage Rates For 2025

Forbes•Nov 13, 2024

Trump could push the US debt to levels that cannot be ignored by the end of 2025, BlackRock's bond chief says

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom's long-term credit rating be downgraded below an A grade by 1 January 2030?

29%

How many countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028?

10.6

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%