Question

When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?

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Community Prediction2046-01

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lower 25%

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upper 75%

>2063-03

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2036-09

2046-01

2063-03

28.1%

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photon99

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Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

List of Chinese scientists

Induced pluripotent stem cell

Regenerative medicine

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

2034-05

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

2032-09

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

2034-09

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Authors:

photon99

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

List of Chinese scientists

Induced pluripotent stem cell

Regenerative medicine

Same-sex foster parents raising flamingo chick at San Diego Zoo

CBS•Oct 1, 2024

Woman’s diabetes reversed after world-first stem cell transplant

Independent•Oct 1, 2024

Revealed: The tidy amount you'll get for donating sperm - as health chiefs increase payment to combat shortage

Daily Mail•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

2034-05

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

2032-09

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

2034-09

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When will the first same-sex couple have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other?

Make a Prediction

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

Comments

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?

When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?