Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in January 2023?

Resolved :1.34M1.3M
8
5
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction1.3M (1.23M - 1.38M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<500k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2M
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
1.225M
1.3M
1.381M
0.2%

What was the final result?1.34M

Community Baseline Score
80.5
Community Peer Score
2.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anastasia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Economy & Business
2023 Leaderboard
Planning permission
United States
US Census Bureau

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