Question

Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?

40 comments40

Total Forecasters125

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 1.7%

Authors:

AlexL PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

Russia

Will Nord Stream 2 be completed before 2025?

0.1%

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

62%

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AlexL PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ukraine–NATO relations

United States

Russia

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•Nov 19, 2024

Mysterious cable break near Nord Stream gas pipeline

•Nov 19, 2024

Map Shows Telecoms Cable Between Two NATO Allies Mysteriously Cut

Newsweek•Nov 19, 2024

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Will Nord Stream 2 be completed before 2025?

0.1%

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

62%