Question

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters109

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

35%

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

15%

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

35%

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

15%

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Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?