16 comments
139 forecasters
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1%chance
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2023
Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
35% chance
35
Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?
160 forecasters
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30% chance
19