Question

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters112

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Erdoğan build a Sunni crescent next door to Israel?

American Thinker•Jan 19, 2025

Gaza ceasefire has come into effect but will the Israel-Hamas agreement hold?

Guardian•Jan 19, 2025

Arms Control in the Middle East

OpEdNews•Jan 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Will Erdoğan build a Sunni crescent next door to Israel?

American Thinker•Jan 19, 2025

Gaza ceasefire has come into effect but will the Israel-Hamas agreement hold?

Guardian•Jan 19, 2025

Arms Control in the Middle East

OpEdNews•Jan 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

40%