Question

Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?

Resolved :No

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Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.0

Community Peer Score

12.6

median 1.0%mean 6.3%

Authors:

bskubi

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Human mortality from H5N1

Bird flu

Medicine

Microbiology

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

14%

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

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