MetaculusM

Question

Will at least one mink farm worker die from any strain of bird flu in 2023?

Resolved :No1%

2

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.0

Community Peer Score

12.6

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

May 6, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Apr 1, 2024

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2023 Leaderboard

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Human mortality from H5N1

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