Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a country other than the United States shoot down a high-altitude object before the end of February, 2023?

Resolved :No4%
4
4
Total Forecasters84
Community Prediction4% (2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
64.0
Community Peer Score
12.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrisonPhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Canada
China
United States
Moldova
Romania

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