Question

Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :Yes

53 comments53

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction76%

Make a Prediction

community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-42.0

Community Peer Score

32.7

median 76.0%mean 71.9%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

52%

When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?

2031-12-28

What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?

Comments

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Starship: When will SpaceX's next 'chopstick' test flight go ahead?

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SpaceX is about to test its Starship. Why does that matter?

Economist•Oct 11, 2024

Starship flight 5: SpaceX will attempt ‘chopstick’ landing

CNN•Oct 13, 2024

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Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

52%

When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?

2031-12-28