Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Virgin Galactic have a successful commercial flight before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :Yes76%
9
53
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction76% (57.5% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 76%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-42.0
Community Peer Score
32.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineJgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
Richard Branson
Virgin Galactic
VMS Eve
VSS Unity
Spaceport America

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