Question

Will the US and the EU (or one of its member states) cut diplomatic ties before 2051?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction5% (3.3% - 7.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 4, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2051

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Syria

United States

Europe's nightmare is here: They have to fight Putin without the US

•Mar 2, 2025

‘Seismic’ shift in UK-US relations is not a blip, warns ex-ambassador

Guardian•Mar 6, 2025

Geostrategic Interests of US and EU Disintegrating as Washington Mulls Withdrawal from Europe - Global Research

Global Research•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

EU and US Cut Diplomatic Ties before 2051? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will visits by a US President to EU member states fall below 1 visit/year for a period of at least three years before 2051?

19.3%

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%

Comments

? comments