Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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conditional
condition

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024?

Resolved :No
25 forecasters
if yes
if no

Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

13%
13%
Resolved :Annulled13%

Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

2%
2%
6
0

Make a Prediction

Bilateral Ceasefire in Ukraine before 2024?

Ukrainian 2025 Exports above 2021?

50%
community: 13%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Turkey
Russo-Ukrainian War
Global South
North Africa
World War II
Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Ukraine)
World Bank
Ukraine
Russia

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