US-China war before 2035?

conditional

condition

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?

59 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

15%

US-China war before 2035?

10%

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Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030?	US-China war before 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 15%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea

China

Economy of the United States

United States

Taiwan

Historical GDP of China

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Xi Jinping Leader of China in 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China–US trade war

South China Sea

China

Economy of the United States

United States

Taiwan

Historical GDP of China

China Will Have Four Nuclear Powered Aircraft Carriers by 2035

•Nov 11, 2024

China Can't Win Trump's New Trade War | Opinion

Newsweek•Nov 12, 2024

Experts say Trump's threatened China tariffs could actually help Beijing weather an economic storm