More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

conditional

condition

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?

30 forecasters

if yes

if no

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

16%

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

50%

1 comment1

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HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?	More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 16%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

33%

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

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Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

33%