More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

conditional

condition

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?

30 forecasters

if yes

if no

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

16%

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

48%

1 comment1

Make a Prediction

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?	More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 16%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Could mosquitoes deliver vaccines against malaria?

Al Jazeera•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

33%

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

AIDS in Africa

Eastern and Southern African Management Institute

Biden administration has no current plans to authorize a bird flu vaccine for humans

NBC•Dec 13, 2024

Antibodies Could Soon Help Slow the Aging Process

Wired•Dec 17, 2024

Could mosquitoes deliver vaccines against malaria?

Al Jazeera•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

33%

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MetaculusM

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Make a Prediction

HIV Vaccine Approved Before 2032?

More HIV/AIDS in 2037 than 2017?

Forecast Timeline

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Comments

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?