Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the 1,000th person reach space?

25
40
Total Forecasters176
Community Prediction2034-08-24 (2029-10-14 - 2041-08-30)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-10-17
...
...
...
...
2029-10-14 18:47
2034-08-24 07:25
2041-08-30 18:13
1.6%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Pshyeah
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Technology
Yuri Gagarin
Sergey Prokopyev (cosmonaut)
SpaceX reusable launch system
Serena Auñón-Chancellor
Blue Origin
International Space Station
Alexander Gerst
Bigelow Aerospace
SpaceX

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